dimanche 28 février 2016

The All-Purpose Super Tuesday Thread - May Include Nuts

Is it time we said good-bye to some old friends?

Kasich? He needs to do well (not win) in the swing states, midwest and northeast. If he doesn't pull about double his recent results in MA, MN, VA then his campaign (for Vice President) is over.

Carson? He's selling books and souvenirs. He'll stay in as long as he thinks he's getting a return on his investment.

Sanders? With more than 500 delegates at stake in all states, he needs to be within four or five points of Hillary in just about all of them, because this is a proportional race. If Hillary does a South Carolina on him in Georgia, Texas and Virginia he's done. She won't lose to him anywhere other than VT by more than 10 points, so even in the states she might lose* she'll still get 35 to 45% of his delegate count.

*VT, MN, CO, MA are the ones the wags are saying will go to Bernie. But they also say OK? Unless all Dem voters in OK are under 30, I just can't see that ultra conservative state going to Bernie.


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