samedi 26 mars 2016

When was the last time a 2nd place finisher got the nomination?

At the end of the primaries and caucuses, each candidate has a certain number of pledged delegates. In order to win, he needs a majority vote of the delegates.

When was the last time delegates, Republicans or Democrats, picked someone other than the guy who had the most delegates at the start of the convention? I can't recall such an event, and I looked up several close conventions (Democrats in 1968, Republicans in 1976, Republicans in 1948). In all cases, the guy who had the most delegates at the beginning of the convention ended up with a majority. In ever case since 1948, it was on the first ballot.

I think it's going to happen this year. I think Trump will have the most delegates, and he won't win. Now that the attention is on him for real, and people are taking him seriously, I think he'll self destruct. The "your wife is ugly" stuff of the last couple of days is just the beginning. By the time of the convention, most Republicans will have joined the #NeverTrump crowd, and they'll block his nomination.

Or maybe that's just wishful thinking.

But anyway, is there any precedent for this? When was the last time that the convention, Republicans or Democrats, refused to nominate the frontrunner?


via International Skeptics Forum http://ift.tt/1Tauuw7

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